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Ararat Davtyan

War Unlikely if Russia Sells Anti-Missile System to Baku

At a press conference held earlier today, Sergey Minasyan, Deputy Director of the Caucasus Institute, argues that the military balance between Armenia and Azerbaijan wouldn’t be directly affected if Russia were to sell S-300 antimissile systems to Baku, since Armenia has no military air force.
He did say that Baku however would be able to destroy Armenian Scud missiles that are capable of striking the Azerbaijani capital of Baku and other strategic energy-related sites deep within the country. "In a certain way, a paradoxical situation arises if war does resume and Russia is obligated, due to its agreements, to enter the fray. Those missiles might just be aimed against the Russian air force," said Mr. Minasyan. The analyst noted that Moscow was well aware of this danger and that if it does indeed sell the systems to Baku, then the Russians are convinced that a resumption of hostilities in the region is very unlikely.

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